Answer this question: handicapping the Super Bowl coin toss is a) super important or b) complete guess work.
If you answered a), congratulations. After all, its a 50-50 proposition, heads or tails. But that is where rookie Super Bowl coin toss bettors will fall down and miss out on money-making opportunities.
There are patterns and clear Super Bowl coin toss trends that continued at Super Bowl 54. Tails remained hot and became a 6-1 trend in the past seven. The NFC’s 49ers won the toss, pushing the NFC to a 6-1 streak.
What other trends should you watch for?
If you win the coin toss, you lose the game
This repeated again at Super Bowl 54 with the San Francisco 49ers winning the coin toss, but then losing the game. That made it seven straight Super Bowls where this trend prevailed. All that chest-thumping over the coin toss win, only to experience the bummer a few hours later.
Why not check out a Super Bowl coin toss prop like ‘Will the team that wins the coin toss also win the game.’ Seems like a great way to start off a winning day.
| Game | Toss Win | Game Win |
| SB49 | Seahawks | Patriots |
| SB50 | Panthers | Broncos |
| SB51 | Falcons | Patriots |
| SB52 | Patriots | Eagles |
| SB53 | Rams | Patriots |
| SB54 | 49ers | Chiefs |
NFC dominates the toss
We mentioned earlier that a current 6-1 in the past six games is impressive. But a look back at all Super Bowls since No. 32 reveals the NFC has won 20 of the 23 tosses. At one point, there was a stretch of 14 straight NFC coin toss vicitories.
Heads AFC wins, Tails NFC wins
This trend got busted at Super Bowl 54. Tails prevailed, but it was the AFC’s Kansas City Chiefs who won the game. Call that one a bad beat in the coin toss world, as many believed the Niners deserved to win.
Before that, the trend had hit eight straight times at 8-0.
| SB46 | Heads | Patriots |
| SB47 | Heads | Ravens |
| SB48 | Tails | Seahawks |
| SB49 | Tails | Seahawks |
| SB50 | Tails | Panthers |
| SB51 | Tails | Falcons |
| SB52 | Heads | Patriots |
| SB53 | Tails | Rams |
| SB 54 | Tails | Chiefs |
Chiefs are 2-0 when they lose the coin toss
Just in case Kansas City gets back to the Super Bowl, they have lost the toss twice and won both games – Super Bowl 4 and Super Bowl 54.
Patriots enjoy perfect 8-0 streak
New England haters don’t even want to think of the Pats back in a Super Bowl. But if they do, pay attention: when they lose the coin toss, they win game. When they win the coin toss, they lose game.
They have won the coin toss (three times), losing each time (see chart below). When they lose the flip, they win the game (five times).
| Game | WL | HT | TossWin | GameWin |
| 31 | Loss | Heads | Patriots | Packers |
| 38 | Win | Tails | Panthers | Patriots |
| 39 | Win | Tails | Eagles | Patriots |
| 46 | Loss | Heads | Patriots | Giants |
| 49 | Win | Tails | Seahawks | Patriots |
| 51 | Win | Tails | Falcons | Patriots |
| 52 | Loss | Heads | Patriots | Eagles |
| 53 | Win | Tails | Rams | Patriots |